WNBA CONNECTICUT Matchup 20230530

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WNBA : Money Line Matchup

Tuesday 5/30/2023

Line

$ Line

OU Line

Score

INDIANA

CONNECTICUT

+12

-12

+550

-850

158

78
Final
81

INDIANA (1 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 1)

Tuesday, 5/30/2023 7:00 PM

Board		Money Line
617	INDIANA	+600
618	CONNECTICUT	-950

	Current Money Line FoxSheets
	ATS FoxSheet
	First Half FoxSheet
	Money Line FoxSheet
	Teaser Line FoxSheet

BETTING TRENDS

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INDIANA (Money)	(0%)	OVER	(78%)
CONNECTICUT (Money)	(0%)	UNDER	(22%)

STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™

StatFox Super Situations favoring CONNECTICUT against the money line

There are 1 situations with a total rating of 2 stars.

- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a road loss against a division rival against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog.
(107-79 since 1997.) (57.5%, +45.3 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring INDIANA against the money line

There are 4 situations with a total rating of 11 stars.

- Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(51-37 since 1997.) (58%, +32.3 units. Rating = 2*)

- Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more.
(52-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.4%, +30.4 units. Rating = 3*)

- Home teams vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games.
(36-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (72%, +28.1 units. Rating = 4*)

- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - off a loss against a division rival, playing with 2 days rest.
(51-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (60%, +31 units. Rating = 2*)

STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™

	Projection		Shooting		3pt Shots		Free Throws		Rebounding
Teams	Score	Edge	FGM-A	Pct.	FGM-A	Pct.	FTM-A	Pct.	Tot.	OFF	TO
INDIANA	69		26-65	39.3%	6-20	30.9%	11-16	71.9%	37	7	17
CONNECTICUT	89		33-70	47.3%	5-16	33.4%	17-23	76.8%	50	13	14

The number of simulations in which each team won the game straight up are listed below. If one time held a significant advantage against the money line, the edge is indicated.

In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT won the game straight up 935 times, while INDIANA won 55 times.
Edge against the money line=CONNECTICUT

Potential StatFox Money Line Power Trends to watch out for:

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring INDIANA to win against the money line

CONNECTICUT is 6-7 against the money line (-14.7 Units) when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 79.8, OPPONENT 74.9

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring CONNECTICUT to win against the money line

INDIANA is 10-37 against the money line (-21.0 Units) in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 77.3, OPPONENT 87.6

INDIANA is 50-121 against the money line (-97.0 Units) when they make 36% to 39% of their shots in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 69.5, OPPONENT 75.3

INDIANA is 66-118 against the money line (-57.4 Units) when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.7, OPPONENT 77.9

INDIANA is 87-120 against the money line (-42.0 Units) when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.4, OPPONENT 75.5

INDIANA is 68-135 against the money line (-94.5 Units) when they attempt 12 to 16 free throws in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 71.2, OPPONENT 75.1

INDIANA is 56-116 against the money line (-66.2 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 less free throws than opponents in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 72.0, OPPONENT 76.1

INDIANA is 6-39 against the money line (-27.6 Units) when they allow 78 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 77.4, OPPONENT 89.7

INDIANA is 4-38 against the money line (-30.2 Units) when they allow 83 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 77.7, OPPONENT 90.7

INDIANA is 45-104 against the money line (-75.4 Units) when they commit 3 to 6 more turnovers than their opponents since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 71.9, OPPONENT 77.9

INDIANA is 36-89 against the money line (-62.6 Units) when they grab 10+ fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 71.4, OPPONENT 78.5

INDIANA is 54-79 against the money line (-38.1 Units) when they score 66 to 71 points in a game since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 68.8, OPPONENT 72.2

INDIANA is 172-207 against the money line (-60.9 Units) in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.7, OPPONENT 75.4

CONNECTICUT is 105-48 against the money line (+46.8 Units) when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.6, OPPONENT 75.7

CONNECTICUT is 12-1 against the money line (+11.3 Units) when their opponents make 36% to 39% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 82.6, OPPONENT 67.5

CONNECTICUT is 21-2 against the money line (+18.3 Units) when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 82.1, OPPONENT 72.0

CONNECTICUT is 103-45 against the money line (+44.2 Units) when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 79.0, OPPONENT 74.3

CONNECTICUT is 93-55 against the money line (+34.3 Units) when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 79.0, OPPONENT 75.7

CONNECTICUT is 17-2 against the money line (+14.7 Units) when they allow 66 to 71 points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 84.4, OPPONENT 68.9

CONNECTICUT is 18-4 against the money line (+15.3 Units) in games where they force 13 to 18 turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 88.1, OPPONENT 76.5

CONNECTICUT is 11-2 against the money line (+9.0 Units) when they commit 3 to 6 fewer turnovers than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 88.4, OPPONENT 74.9

CONNECTICUT is 16-5 against the money line (+10.6 Units) when they grab more than 47 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 80.7, OPPONENT 71.3

CONNECTICUT is 18-4 against the money line (+14.3 Units) when they grab 10+ more rebounds than their opponents in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 86.2, OPPONENT 74.1

CONNECTICUT is 38-12 against the money line (+15.3 Units) when they score 78 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 87.9, OPPONENT 77.1

CONNECTICUT is 19-4 against the money line (+16.2 Units) when they score 83 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 92.6, OPPONENT 79.6

CONNECTICUT is 15-4 against the money line (+10.8 Units) in home games in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.6, OPPONENT 73.2

STATFOX MATCHUP POWER TRENDS™

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents favoring CONNECTICUT to win against the money line

There are 2 trends with a total rating of 0 stars.

INDIANA is 2-18 against the money line (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 74.6, OPPONENT 87.7 - (Rating = 0*)

CONNECTICUT is 189-95 against the money line (+33.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 80.1, OPPONENT 74.5 - (Rating = 0*)

STATFOX SITUATIONAL POWER TRENDS™

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring INDIANA to win against the money line

There are 2 trends with a total rating of 5 stars.

INDIANA is 94-69 against the money line (+19.6 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 74.2, OPPONENT 73.0 - (Rating = 0*)

CONNECTICUT is 4-9 against the money line (-17.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 83.1, OPPONENT 80.9 - (Rating = 5*)

StatFox Situational Power Trends favoring CONNECTICUT to win against the money line

There are 32 trends with a total rating of 33 stars.

INDIANA is 11-43 against the money line (-25.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 76.6, OPPONENT 87.0 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 8-13 against the money line (-16.3 Units) off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 71.4, OPPONENT 74.7 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 44-51 against the money line (-29.1 Units) off a road win against a division rival since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 72.7, OPPONENT 71.8 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 116-130 against the money line (-49.4 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.2, OPPONENT 73.3 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 70-77 against the money line (-33.2 Units) off a road win since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.2, OPPONENT 72.7 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 6-35 against the money line (-24.9 Units) after allowing 70 points or more in 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 76.8, OPPONENT 88.7 - (Rating = 2*)

INDIANA is 9-36 against the money line (-21.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 77.3, OPPONENT 87.9 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 8-33 against the money line (-20.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 77.3, OPPONENT 88.1 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 18-33 against the money line (-18.7 Units) after a close win by 3 points or less since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 74.7, OPPONENT 77.1 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 14-45 against the money line (-25.8 Units) in road games after a win by 6 points or less since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 71.5, OPPONENT 76.6 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 140-189 against the money line (-64.3 Units) after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 75.3, OPPONENT 78.1 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 166-202 against the money line (-67.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 74.9, OPPONENT 77.2 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 96-126 against the money line (-52.7 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 75.0, OPPONENT 77.5 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 125-166 against the money line (-52.8 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 75.6, OPPONENT 79.0 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 9-37 against the money line (-21.5 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 76.6, OPPONENT 87.3 - (Rating = 0*)

INDIANA is 43-100 against the money line (-52.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 75.0, OPPONENT 81.5 - (Rating = 2*)

INDIANA is 3-23 against the money line (-18.2 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 76.0, OPPONENT 87.9 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 174-207 against the money line (-75.6 Units) after a game where they covered the spread since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.1, OPPONENT 74.2 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 175-196 against the money line (-72.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 73.3, OPPONENT 73.7 - (Rating = 1*)

INDIANA is 5-19 against the money line (-20.5 Units) after a game making 11 or more 3 point shots since 1997.
The average score was INDIANA 70.3, OPPONENT 78.8 - (Rating = 4*)

CONNECTICUT is 98-65 against the money line (+26.5 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.3, OPPONENT 75.2 - (Rating = 1*)

CONNECTICUT is 16-5 against the money line (+11.4 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 85.8, OPPONENT 76.5 - (Rating = 3*)

CONNECTICUT is 111-79 against the money line (+25.1 Units) off a loss against a division rival since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.3, OPPONENT 75.7 - (Rating = 0*)

CONNECTICUT is 32-9 against the money line (+18.4 Units) in home games off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 80.4, OPPONENT 73.7 - (Rating = 1*)

CONNECTICUT is 21-4 against the money line (+17.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 86.7, OPPONENT 74.4 - (Rating = 5*)

CONNECTICUT is 8-2 against the money line (+6.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 87.5, OPPONENT 76.7 - (Rating = 0*)

CONNECTICUT is 19-3 against the money line (+16.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 86.5, OPPONENT 73.7 - (Rating = 6*)

CONNECTICUT is 40-15 against the money line (+18.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 80.7, OPPONENT 74.2 - (Rating = 1*)

CONNECTICUT is 149-144 against the money line (+27.7 Units) after playing a game as an underdog since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.2, OPPONENT 77.0 - (Rating = 0*)

CONNECTICUT is 49-52 against the money line (+22.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.4, OPPONENT 78.3 - (Rating = 0*)

CONNECTICUT is 14-5 against the money line (+9.4 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 83.8, OPPONENT 75.9 - (Rating = 1*)

CONNECTICUT is 10-3 against the money line (+7.3 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 83.0, OPPONENT 73.0 - (Rating = 0*)

ADVANCED TEAM STATS

INDIANA - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	1-2	+1.2	1-2	2-1	74.7	34.7	38.6%	48.3	82.3	48.0	39.7%	45.7
Road Games	1-1	+2.2	1-1	2-0	81.5	38.0	40.9%	48.0	88.5	54.5	43.6%	40.5
Last 5 Games	1-2	+1.2	1-2	2-1	74.7	34.7	38.6%	48.3	82.3	48.0	39.7%	45.7
Division Games	1-2	+1.2	1-2	2-1	74.7	34.7	38.6%	48.3	82.3	48.0	39.7%	45.7

INDIANA Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	74.7	34.7	28-72	38.6%	7-24	30.1%	12-17	69.2%	48	11	15	21	8	15	4
vs opponents surrendering	77	39.1	28-69	40.5%	7-24	29.8%	14-17	77.7%	44	10	18	20	9	14	4
Team Stats (Road Games)	81.5	38.0	30-74	40.9%	8-24	32.7%	12-16	75.8%	48	12	15	19	7	13	3
Stats Against (All Games)	82.3	48.0	26-66	39.7%	9-22	39.4%	21-26	81.8%	46	9	20	20	6	15	5
vs opponents averaging	78.9	38.8	27-68	39.8%	8-24	33.5%	17-21	78.3%	46	10	20	18	7	15	5
Stats Against (Road Games)	88.5	54.5	29-66	43.6%	11-24	44.9%	19-22	86.7%	40	7	22	19	4	14	4

CONNECTICUT - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team				Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.	Score	Half	FG Pct	Reb.
All Games	3-1	+2.8	3-1	1-3	75.7	37.5	37.6%	49.5	74.2	35.0	40.3%	43.2
Home Games	1-0	+1	1-0	0-1	80.0	34.0	36.8%	58.0	74.0	38.0	39.1%	43.0
Last 5 Games	3-1	+2.8	3-1	1-3	75.7	37.5	37.6%	49.5	74.2	35.0	40.3%	43.2
Division Games	3-1	+2.8	3-1	1-3	75.7	37.5	37.6%	49.5	74.2	35.0	40.3%	43.2

CONNECTICUT Team Statistics
			Shooting		3pt Shooting		Free Throws		Rebounding
	PPG	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	PCT	FTM-A	Pct	Tot	Off	Ast	PF	Stl	TO	Bk
Team Stats (All Games)	75.7	37.5	24-64	37.6%	6-20	31.2%	21-28	73.7%	49	9	16	20	8	13	4
vs opponents surrendering	76.4	38.5	26-66	39.8%	7-22	31.1%	17-22	76.6%	46	7	18	18	8	15	4
Team Stats (Home Games)	80.0	34.0	25-68	36.8%	5-18	27.8%	25-36	69.4%	58	8	17	22	7	8	3
Stats Against (All Games)	74.2	35.0	27-67	40.3%	6-24	27.4%	14-19	73.3%	43	9	19	22	7	14	4
vs opponents averaging	76.5	38.5	28-69	40.8%	7-24	30.5%	13-17	78.6%	43	8	20	19	8	14	4
Stats Against (Home Games)	74.0	38.0	27-69	39.1%	3-21	14.3%	17-22	77.3%	43	4	18	25	4	11	5

Average power rating of opponents played: INDIANA 71.7, CONNECTICUT 69.5

SCHEDULE AND RESULTS

INDIANA - Season Results Against the Money Line

Team Stats

Opp Stats

Date

Opponent

Score

Money

Shots

Pct

REB

Shots

Pct

REB

5/19/2023

CONNECTICUT

61-70

+250

22-66

33.3%

21-66

31.8%

5/21/2023

@ NEW YORK

73-90

26-73

35.6%

33-68

48.5%

5/28/2023

@ ATLANTA

90-87

+220

35-76

46.1%

25-65

38.5%

5/30/2023

@ CONNECTICUT

6/4/2023

LAS VEGAS

6/6/2023

@ CHICAGO

6/9/2023

@ MINNESOTA

6/11/2023

PHOENIX

6/13/2023

WASHINGTON

6/15/2023

@ CHICAGO

CONNECTICUT - Season Results Against the Money Line
					Team Stats				Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Money	Shots	Pct	REB	TO	Shots	Pct	REB	TO
5/19/2023	@ INDIANA	70-61	W	-330	21-66	31.8%	56	16	22-66	33.3%	49	19
5/21/2023	WASHINGTON	80-74	W	-105	25-68	36.8%	58	8	27-69	39.1%	43	11
5/23/2023	@ WASHINGTON	88-81	W	+175	29-61	47.5%	42	13	27-65	41.5%	38	14
5/27/2023	@ NEW YORK	65-81	L	+210	22-63	34.9%	42	14	32-68	47.1%	43	13
5/30/2023	INDIANA
6/1/2023	@ MINNESOTA
6/4/2023	DALLAS
6/6/2023	LAS VEGAS
6/8/2023	LAS VEGAS
6/11/2023	@ ATLANTA
6/15/2023	ATLANTA

HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY

All games in this series since 1997

CONNECTICUT is 50-34 (+11.8 Units) against the money line versus INDIANA since 1997

Games over the last 3 seasons

CONNECTICUT is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the money line versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CONNECTICUT since 1997

CONNECTICUT is 27-12 (+3.3 Units) against the money line versus INDIANA since 1997

Games played at CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons.

CONNECTICUT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the money line versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons

						Shooting		3pt shots		Free Throws		Rebounds
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FGM-A	Pct	FGM-A	Pct	FTM-A	Pct	Tot.	OFF	TO
5/19/2023	CONNECTICUT	70	-7.5	SU ATS	35	21-66	31.8%	4-17	23.5%	24-32	75.0%	56	12	16
	INDIANA	61	161.5	Under	28	22-66	33.3%	6-24	25.0%	11-19	57.9%	49	8	19
7/13/2022	CONNECTICUT	89	-9.5	SU Over	41	31-67	46.3%	6-19	31.6%	21-24	87.5%	45	10	17
	INDIANA	81	161	ATS	28	30-68	44.1%	6-21	28.6%	15-19	78.9%	36	7	16
6/8/2022	INDIANA	69	166.5	Under	37	27-72	37.5%	3-21	14.3%	12-14	85.7%	37	9	15
	CONNECTICUT	88	-15.5	SU ATS	48	31-66	47.0%	5-17	29.4%	21-27	77.8%	51	11	16
5/22/2022	CONNECTICUT	92	-13.5	SU ATS	54	35-68	51.5%	6-13	46.2%	16-20	80.0%	42	11	12
	INDIANA	70	161.5	Over	41	22-63	34.9%	3-17	17.6%	23-27	85.2%	40	12	13
5/20/2022	INDIANA	85	156	ATS	35	34-63	54.0%	6-15	40.0%	11-13	84.6%	32	3	19
	CONNECTICUT	94	-16	SU Over	37	31-71	43.7%	11-19	57.9%	21-29	72.4%	47	11	15

COACHING TRENDS

StatFox Coaching Situational Power Trends favoring CONNECTICUT to win against the money line

There are 3 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.

White is 17-11 against the money line (+12.0 Units) after 2 consecutive division games in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was White 80.0, OPPONENT 76.6 - (Rating = 0*)

White is 25-14 against the money line (+14.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was White 79.3, OPPONENT 76.8 - (Rating = 1*)

White is 31-18 against the money line (+15.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997.
The average score was White 80.4, OPPONENT 75.9 - (Rating = 1*)

STATFOX LINE TRACKER™

Here is a summary of past results against the money line in games where the line movement was similar to:

Opening Money Line: Home=-850 (Road=+550), Closing Money Line: Home=-950 (Road=+600)

Since 1997, the home favorite won the game straight up 45 times, while the road underdog won straight up 10 times. No Edge.

Over the last 3 seasons, the home favorite won the game straight up 4 times, while the road underdog won straight up 2 times. No Edge.

KEY PLAYER INJURIES

INDIANA

[G] 07/27/2022 - Bria Hartley is out for season ( ACL )

CONNECTICUT

[G] 07/24/2022 - Jasmine Thomas is out for season ( ACL )

Last Updated: 5/2/2024 8:26:28 PM EST.