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WNBA : Money Line Matchup
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Thursday 9/24/2020Line$ LineOU LineScore
LAS VEGAS
 
CONNECTICUT
-5  

+5  
-210

+175

163
 
68
Final
77

LAS VEGAS (19 - 5) vs. CONNECTICUT (13 - 13)
No Previous GameView Next Game
Thursday, 9/24/2020 7:30 PM
WNBA Playoffs - Semifinals - Best of 5 - Game 3 - Bradenton, FL
Board Money Line
619LAS VEGAS-210
620CONNECTICUT+175
BETTING TRENDS

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(Money)

(0%)

OVER

(0%)
(Money) (0%)UNDER (0%)
STATFOX SUPER SITUATIONS™
StatFox Super Situations favoring CONNECTICUT against the money line
There are 2 situations with a total rating of 3 stars.
- Any team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - being called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents on the season, in August or September games.
(53-52 over the last 5 seasons.) (50.5%, +19.9 units. Rating = 1*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after a game - attempting 20+ more free throws than opponent.
(54-32 since 1997.) (62.8%, +28.1 units. Rating = 2*)

StatFox Super Situations favoring LAS VEGAS against the money line
There are 14 situations with a total rating of 28 stars.
- Favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - after a game where they covered the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games.
(214-55 since 1997.) (79.6%, +74.1 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - after a game where they covered the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games.
(239-88 since 1997.) (73.1%, +73.2 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games.
(190-53 since 1997.) (78.2%, +66.8 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - off a win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games.
(210-80 since 1997.) (72.4%, +61.4 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more.
(136-33 since 1997.) (80.5%, +58.1 units. Rating = 2*)
- Favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 75 points or more.
(128-26 since 1997.) (83.1%, +55.2 units. Rating = 2*)
- Favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - in the conference finals.
(91-29 since 1997.) (75.8%, +40 units. Rating = 2*)
- Favorites vs. the money line (LAS VEGAS) - as a # 1 seed in the playoffs, in the conference finals.
(54-9 since 1997.) (85.7%, +35.2 units. Rating = 3*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games.
(21-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +17.9 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an average defensive team (40.5-43.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better.
(27-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.5%, +14.8 units. Rating = 1*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(33-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.3%, +20 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(26-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.4%, +20.8 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an average defensive team (40.5-43.5%), after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better.
(119-67 over the last 5 seasons.) (64%, +45.9 units. Rating = 2*)
- Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) - average shooting team (40.5-43.5%) against an average defensive team (40.5-43.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 80% of their free throws or better.
(85-46 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.9%, +36.2 units. Rating = 2*)

STATFOX GAME ESTIMATOR™
 ProjectionShooting   3pt Shots Free ThrowsRebounding 
TeamsScoreEdgeFGM-APct.FGM-APct.FTM-APct.Tot.OFFTO
LAS VEGAS83 32-7045.6%5-1630.8%14-1877.4%451113
CONNECTICUT78 28-6742.3%6-2031.1%14-1879.3%42914

The number of simulations in which each team won the game straight up are listed below. If one time held a significant advantage against the money line, the edge is indicated.
In 1000 simulated games, LAS VEGAS won the game straight up 650 times, while CONNECTICUT won 321 times.
No Edge.

Potential StatFox Money Line Power Trends to watch out for:
Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring LAS VEGAS to win against the money line
LAS VEGAS is 14-4 against the money line (+15.1 Units) when they make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 89.3, OPPONENT 80.8
LAS VEGAS is 21-8 against the money line (+13.6 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 85.2, OPPONENT 80.8
LAS VEGAS is 32-31 against the money line (+21.7 Units) in road games when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game since 1997.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 77.4, OPPONENT 78.8
LAS VEGAS is 47-22 against the money line (+26.7 Units) when they score 78 or more points in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 88.8, OPPONENT 82.6
LAS VEGAS is 29-9 against the money line (+14.2 Units) when they score 83 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 90.7, OPPONENT 81.7
CONNECTICUT is 9-16 against the money line (-25.7 Units) when they make 40% to 44% of their shots in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.6, OPPONENT 83.4
CONNECTICUT is 44-69 against the money line (-56.9 Units) when their opponents make 45% to 48% of their shots in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.0, OPPONENT 80.8
CONNECTICUT is 17-19 against the money line (-20.5 Units) when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.4, OPPONENT 80.6
CONNECTICUT is 2-12 against the money line (-10.4 Units) when they allow 78 or more points in a game this season.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.2, OPPONENT 88.2
CONNECTICUT is 5-18 against the money line (-15.7 Units) when they allow 83 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 82.4, OPPONENT 92.8
CONNECTICUT is 4-15 against the money line (-14.9 Units) in road games when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 77.8, OPPONENT 86.7
CONNECTICUT is 10-19 against the money line (-12.6 Units) in road games where both teams score 71 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 82.3, OPPONENT 85.9
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 against the money line (-7.8 Units) in games where they commit 13 to 18 turnovers this season.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.8, OPPONENT 82.9

Potential StatFox Power Trends based on estimated statistics favoring CONNECTICUT to win against the money line
LAS VEGAS is 17-15 against the money line (-19.1 Units) in road games in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 86.0, OPPONENT 82.4
LAS VEGAS is 5-7 against the money line (-13.5 Units) when they make 29% to 35% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 81.9, OPPONENT 81.6
LAS VEGAS is 4-9 against the money line (-10.5 Units) in road games when they attempt 17 to 22 free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 84.6, OPPONENT 87.0
LAS VEGAS is 5-6 against the money line (-14.4 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 82.9, OPPONENT 80.7
LAS VEGAS is 17-18 against the money line (-26.7 Units) when they allow 78 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 87.3, OPPONENT 87.3
LAS VEGAS is 95-142 against the money line (-53.2 Units) when they commit around the same number of turnovers as opponents since 1997.
The average score was LAS VEGAS 74.8, OPPONENT 77.7
CONNECTICUT is 13-9 against the money line (+6.6 Units) in up-tempo games where they attempt 84 or more shots this season.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.0, OPPONENT 76.9
CONNECTICUT is 93-53 against the money line (+29.1 Units) when their opponents make 29% to 35% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 79.9, OPPONENT 75.6
CONNECTICUT is 23-8 against the money line (+13.6 Units) in games attempting around the same number of free throws as opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 85.6, OPPONENT 77.6
CONNECTICUT is 83-48 against the money line (+32.2 Units) when they make 77% to 82% of their free throws in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 78.4, OPPONENT 75.4
CONNECTICUT is 22-11 against the money line (+10.9 Units) when they grab 8 to 12 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 81.9, OPPONENT 76.5
CONNECTICUT is 62-40 against the money line (+22.0 Units) when they score 78 to 82 points in a game since 1997.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 80.0, OPPONENT 78.0
CONNECTICUT is 32-10 against the money line (+25.2 Units) when they score 78 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CONNECTICUT 87.5, OPPONENT 79.3