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NFL : ATS Matchup
Sunday 12/30/2012Line$ LineOU LineScore




MIAMI (7 - 8) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 4)
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Week 17 Sunday, 12/30/2012 4:25 PM
Board OpenLatest
304NEW ENGLAND-11.5-10
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
All Games7-8-2.67-65-919.29.4315.2(5.3)1.619.39.4351.0(5.5)1.1
Road Games2-5-3.23-42-417.910.0292.3(5)
Last 3 Games2-1+12-11-220.39.0305.7(5.1)0.713.34.0333.7(5.9)1.3
Turf Games2-1+1.32-10-220.311.3233.0(4.1)
Division Games2-3-12-11-320.812.2275.8(4.5)1.416.88.4346.8(5)1.8
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
Offense (All Games)19.29.418.129:1828-116(4.1)18-3158.2%199(6.4)60-315(5.3)(16.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.23.511.42030:2928-124(4.4)20-3459.9%222(6.5)62-345(5.5)(14.7)
Offense Road Games17.910.016.928:1226-81(3.2)18-3257.1%211(6.5)58-292(5)(16.4)
Defense (All Games)19.39.419.531:4426-104(4)22-3858.7%247(6.6)64-351(5.5)(18.2)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.71119.430:2228-119(4.3)20-3459.6%218(6.4)62-337(5.4)(15.5)
Defense Road Games20.79.720.432:4425-95(3.8)24-3961.3%249(6.4)64-345(5.4)(16.6)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
Stats For (All Games)
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.
Stats For (Road Games)
Stats Against (All Games) 15-535.6%1-171.4%2-58(24.1)3-30(11.6)8-66
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-536.3%1-051.2%3-65(23.8)22-2(10.2)6-55
Stats Against (Road Games) 15-533.3%1-183.3%3-70(24.6)2-28(13.1)7-61

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
All Games11-4-1.48-611-435.317.9426.9(5.9)
Home Games5-2-4.73-46-135.715.9420.6(5.7)1.125.310.6383.6(5.7)2.4
Last 3 Games2-1+0.31-22-133.012.3429.3(5.7)2.323.710.0380.7(5.7)2.0
Turf Games7-3-4.45-59-137.417.0447.4(6)1.324.810.1389.6(6)3.0
Division Games5-0+52-24-138.019.8420.8(5.9)
NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
Offense (All Games)35.317.927.730:3732-134(4.2)25-4062.7%292(7.2)73-427(5.9)(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.811.32031:4628-123(4.3)20-3459.0%219(6.4)63-342(5.5)(15)
Offense Home Games35.715.928.130:2632-133(4.1)26-4261.8%288(6.9)74-421(5.7)(11.8)
Defense (All Games)22.19.921.629:5327-106(4)23-3762.4%276(7.4)64-381(6)(17.3)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.510.519.130:1128-119(4.3)20-3359.6%214(6.4)61-333(5.4)(15.5)
Defense Home Games25.310.623.630:3829-120(4.1)23-3862.0%263(7)67-384(5.7)(15.2)
NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
Stats For (All Games)
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.
Stats For (Home Games)
Stats Against (All Games) 13-540.1%1-140.9%4-79(20.8)1-9(6.4)7-62
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-536.5%1-049.2%3-68(24.7)23-2(10.2)6-55
Stats Against (Home Games) 14-645.3%1-042.9%4-80(20.7)1-7(4.8)6-62
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 18.3,  NEW ENGLAND 18.8
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
11/4/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS20-23L-3L43.5U18-8422-38-281026-9730-48-4190
11/15/2012@ BUFFALO14-19L3L46U24-6014-28-124331-12017-27-1610
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND16-23L7T51U27-10113-29-176132-10824-40-2131
12/9/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO13-27L11L38.5O22-9417-33-133128-15518-23-1660
12/30/2012@ NEW ENGLAND            

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
11/22/2012@ NY JETS49-19W-7W48.5O39-15218-28-323129-11926-36-2865
12/2/2012@ MIAMI23-16W-7T51U32-10824-40-213127-10113-29-1761
12/16/2012SAN FRANCISCO34-41L-4L47.5O24-9536-65-425439-18014-25-2032
12/23/2012@ JACKSONVILLE23-16W-13.5L51.5U27-10324-41-246223-9329-51-3433
MIAMI: The Dolphins will have a different look under new head coach Joe Philbin, as his West Coast offense figures to emphasize short catch-and-run plays rather than the between-the-tackles running to set up the pass that Miami has used in recent years. The running game itself will undergo a big change as they transition to a zone-blocking scheme. Reggie Bush has some experience in it, as the Saints sprinkled in zone plays during his time there. Daniel Thomas gets a fresh slate and has the tools (especially pass protection and receiving) to thrive in the new system. Neither Bush nor Thomas is a true short-yardage back, though Bush figures to get the first crack at the role. With the West Coast roots of Philbin and new offensive coordinator Mike Sherman, expect this year's attack to be much more catch-and-run, which suits rookie QB Ryan Tannehill even if veteran Matt Moore holds him off early. Brandon Marshall is gone and slot man Davone Bess figures to be a major beneficiary stat-wise. The backs and TE Anthony Fasano will play a bigger role in the receiving game as well, with Fasano serving as a target near the goal line on play-action. Brian Hartline and Chad Ochocinco figure to be targeted rarely. Fullback/H-back Charles Clay is a part-time player but should be in for an increase in reps and targets. He could end up surpassing Fasano in receiving numbers. Miami excelled in stopping the run in 2011, and wound up placing third in the NFL with 95.6 rushing YPG allowed. Although the defense did not markedly improve in its offense-focused draft, the Dolphins signed CB Richard Marshall and should remain capable of stopping opposing offenses that don't possess the passing game of a team like New England. Miami is switching to a 4-3 and Karlos Dansby will be the key to maintaining the team's performance against the run as its middle linebacker. Dansby's best years, however, came playing in a 3-4, making the move a bit of a risk.
NEW ENGLAND: Josh McDaniels returns to the role of offensive coordinator'he called plays for New England in 2007, a record-setting year for Tom Brady and the offense. But while he was gone the Patriots got more comfortable running the ball. Last year they ended up being middle of the pack in terms of run/pass split (41/59 vs. NFL average of 43/57). There will be plenty of work for the backs. The Patriots run a wide range of blocking schemes, but McDaniels strongly prefers a power scheme. Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen are expected to split duties as the primary ball carriers, and Danny Woodhead and Joseph Addai will likely get spot duty on third downs. The Patriots use spread principles. Wes Welker and Aaron Hernandez are utilized frequently out of the slot underneath, while Rob Gronkowski is used as a field stretcher working up the seam. The return of McDaniels and addition of Brandon Lloyd means more deep shots. Lloyd is familiar with the playbook from his days under McDaniels in Denver and was very impressive during off-season workouts. Deion Branch and Jabar Gaffney will primarily stay outside for spacing. The backs have been marginalized in the passing game with the emergence of Hernandez, but Woodhead is typically targeted a couple of times every week. While Gronkowski is frequently Brady's first option from about 10 yards out, they tend to use play-action and utilize Hernandez once they're closer to the goal line. The Patriots allow gobs of yardage, especially through the air, but they will also force a lot of turnovers and don't allow as many points as you'd expect of a defense that surrenders so many yards. DT Vince Wilfork is a monster in the middle, and the team is expected to have a better pass rush in 2012 with the expected contributions from rookies Chandler Jones and Donta' Hightower. Jerod Mayo was limited by a knee injury through most of 2011. As a three-down player who excels at stopping the run, there's no reason he can't top 100 solo tackles, even playing the weak side when New England uses a 4-3 look. Brandon Spikes was also slowed by a knee injury during most of 2011, but bounced back for an impressive 26 total tackles in three post-season games. Patrick Chung was en route to a career year statistically before a foot injury derailed him. He's at his best in the box, but is instinctive enough in pass coverage to make up for some of New England's deficiencies on the corners. If Mayo, Spikes and Chung can all remain healthy in 2012, the Patriots defense has a chance to be vastly improved.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ PA SPORTSTICKER PRO FOOTBALL PREVIEW (MIAMI-NEW ENGLAND) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

*Dolphins-Patriots Preview* ===========================


The New England Patriots should have a pretty good idea whether their regular-season finale has any significance in the AFC playoff picture before the opening kickoff.

Either way, it may mean something to their confidence heading into the postseason.

After a pair of uninspiring starts, the Patriots look to produce a better first half of football Sunday when they host the Miami Dolphins.

New England (11-4) fell behind lowly Jacksonville 10-0 in the first 10 minutes last weekend. Although the AFC East champions recovered for a 23-16 victory, their slow start the previous week may have cost them a bye in the playoffs.

The Patriots trailed San Francisco 31-3 at home Dec. 16, rallying to tie the score but eventually losing 41-34. That leaves them one game behind both Houston and Denver going into Week 17.

"We've got to do a better job," Tom Brady said Monday during his weekly appearance on WEEI radio. "We've got some pretty important weeks of football ahead, and that's when we really need to play our best."

The Patriots, who hold tiebreakers over the Texans and Broncos after beating both, could still claim one of the top two seeds in the AFC if one of those teams loses Sunday. Houston plays at Indianapolis early in the afternoon.

That result won't affect the Colts, who are locked into the No. 5 seed, but New England will still be watching the scoreboard. Denver is heavily favored at home against Kansas City, with that game happening at the same time the Patriots face Miami.

Even if the chance of a bye is remote, New England may need a win to secure the AFC's No. 3 spot if Baltimore beats Cincinnati early. The third-place team will host the Bengals next weekend, while the No. 4 seed faces Indianapolis.

All of those scenarios, including the chance of a short week before a Saturday wild-card game, could affect coach Bill Belichick's personnel decisions Sunday.

"You can't be totally oblivious to the possibilities that exist out there," Belichick said. "There are quite a few possibilities. It's really hard to be specific on something like that when there are so many possibilities."

There's a possibility New England could have one of its most important offensive weapons back Sunday. Rob Gronkowski hasn't played since breaking his arm late in a 59-24 win over the Colts on Nov. 18, although he still has twice as many receiving touchdowns (10) as any teammate.

The Patriots' top-ranked offense looked sluggish in Jacksonville, with Brady throwing a pair of interceptions and the team converting a season-low 23 first downs. New England has gone 6 for 27 on third down over the last two weeks.

Brady blamed the performance against the Jaguars largely on "self-inflicted errors," and offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels seemed to agree.

"Certainly, (we) never really got into the game where we felt like we were going to string together a bunch of drives," McDaniels said.

Even though the Patriots have won five straight against the Dolphins, it's far from certain that they'll be able to dominate Sunday. They gained a season-low 321 yards in a 23-16 win at Miami on Dec. 2, and they trailed 17-0 at halftime against the Dolphins at home last season before rallying to win 27-24.

Miami (7-8) would love to avoid a fourth straight losing season and finish with a third consecutive victory. Coach Joe Philbin's team has allowed 13 total points in its last two games, home victories over Jacksonville and Buffalo.

"We're building a foundation that is going to deliver excellent football teams here in the future," Philbin said. "And it takes time."

Rookie Ryan Tannehill has gone four straight games without an interception and has thrown four TD passes over the last two weeks. The Dolphins also totaled 362 rushing yards in their back-to-back wins, and Reggie Bush needs only 40 more for his second straight 1,000-yard season.

"Our offense is really getting into a rhythm," Bush said. "We hit a low point midway through the season where we were kind of struggling to run that ball, and I think that really hurt us. I feel like now we've kind of hit that stride where everybody is on the same page, our chemistry is good, our defense is playing well, and it feels good."

The Patriots may want to get a few key defensive players some rest for the playoffs. Linebacker Brandon Spikes (knee, ankle) missed last week's game and cornerback Aqib Talib (hip) was extremely limited.

Game Notes:

Last Updated: 6/21/2018 7:16:48 AM EST

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