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NFL : ATS Matchup
Sunday 11/25/2012Line$ LineOU LineScore




BUFFALO (4 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 4)
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Week 12 Sunday, 11/25/2012 1:00 PM
Board OpenLatest
BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
All Games4-6-25-56-423.013.0351.3(5.9)2.129.912.7387.4(6.2)1.4
Road Games2-4-1.23-33-319.09.3338.8(5.6)
Last 3 Games1-2-12-11-219.714.0356.7(5.9)1.324.012.7301.7(5.1)1.0
Dome Games1-0+1.81-00-119.09.0306.0(4.6)
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
Offense (All Games)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.611.120.131:5128-113(4.1)22-3560.8%241(6.8)63-354(5.6)(15.6)
Offense Road Games19.09.320.029:2526-138(5.3)21-3461.8%201(5.9)60-339(5.6)(17.8)
Defense (All Games)29.912.723.030:2029-153(5.2)20-3360.9%234(7)63-387(6.2)(13)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.911.920.730:2429-123(4.3)21-3560.8%228(6.6)64-351(5.5)(14.7)
Defense Road Games30.215.322.531:1330-146(4.9)20-3362.8%236(7.2)62-383(6.1)(12.7)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
Stats For (All Games)
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.81.81.913-537.7%1-055.9%3-70(23.4)21-2(10.1)6-53
Stats For (Road Games)
Stats Against (All Games) 12-646.0%1-066.7%3-69(24.6)2-32(14.4)5-46
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.80.71.5 14-539.9%1-050.6%3-73(24.4)28-2(11.5)6-53
Stats Against (Road Games) 12-648.0%1-075.0%2-55(22.2)2-35(15)6-54

INDIANAPOLIS - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
All Games6-4+3.36-43-621.011.8393.4(5.7)1.926.013.5360.1(6.1)0.6
Home Games4-1+44-11-422.012.2403.2(5.6)0.620.410.6340.0(6)0.4
Last 3 Games2-1+1.32-11-224.715.7441.0(6.3)2.029.714.7382.7(6.6)1.0
Dome Games4-1+44-11-422.012.2403.2(5.6)0.620.410.6340.0(6)0.4
INDIANAPOLIS - Current Season Statistics
Offense (All Games)21.011.824.132:0628-110(4)23-4157.0%283(6.9)69-393(5.7)(18.7)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.111.521.732:0229-118(4.1)23-3762.0%253(6.8)66-371(5.6)(15.4)
Offense Home Games22.012.223.233:3130-114(3.8)24-4256.9%289(6.9)72-403(5.6)(18.3)
Defense (All Games)26.013.520.728:2325-119(4.7)21-3363.7%241(7.2)59-360(6.1)(13.8)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.410.718.929:0126-108(4.1)21-3460.2%216(6.3)61-324(5.3)(14.5)
Defense Home Games20.410.618.826:2923-112(4.8)21-3462.5%228(6.8)57-340(6)(16.7)
INDIANAPOLIS - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
Stats For (All Games)
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.81.71.914-539.4%1-159.9%3-63(23.6)20-2(9.2)7-56
Stats For (Home Games)
Stats Against (All Games) 12-540.2%1-050.0%2-58(25.3)2-26(13.7)8-82
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.71.6 13-537.3%1-044.9%3-75(24.5)22-2(10.6)6-55
Stats Against (Home Games) 13-538.5%1-033.3%3-72(27.7)3-20(6.8)9-83
Average power rating of opponents played: BUFFALO 21.9,  INDIANAPOLIS 18.7
BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
9/30/2012NEW ENGLAND28-52L3.5L47.5O27-9822-39-340640-24722-36-3332
10/7/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO3-45L10L45.5O19-8916-26-115238-31119-25-3101
10/14/2012@ ARIZONA19-16W5.5W44.5U33-16518-33-141230-18216-36-1502
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON9-21L11L48U16-7825-38-230132-11819-27-2560
11/11/2012@ NEW ENGLAND31-37L13.5W54O28-16227-40-319329-11723-38-2300
11/25/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS            
12/9/2012ST LOUIS            
12/23/2012@ MIAMI            

INDIANAPOLIS - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
10/7/2012GREEN BAY30-27W6W49.5O30-11931-55-345123-14121-33-2151
10/14/2012@ NY JETS9-35L3L44P17-4122-44-257444-25212-19-990
10/28/2012@ TENNESSEE19-13W3W46U34-17126-38-286125-11222-29-2270
11/8/2012@ JACKSONVILLE27-10W-3W43.5U37-13818-26-221212-3728-47-3003
11/18/2012@ NEW ENGLAND24-59L10L54O24-11927-50-329425-11524-35-3310
12/2/2012@ DETROIT            
12/16/2012@ HOUSTON            
12/23/2012@ KANSAS CITY            
BUFFALO: The Bills are largely committed to zone blocking, going away from two-RB backfields and running effectively out of their three-WR base. They'll spread defenses out then use a lot of inside-zone plays, especially when Fred Jackson is healthy. If he's 100 percent, Jackson figures to take the majority of the snaps at running back over Spiller, who's used outside the tackles as more of an all-or-nothing runner. Both backs will be on the field at the same time in certain packages, with one of them (usually Spiller) in the slot. Buffalo's passing game is limited by Ryan Fitzpatrick's lack of arm strength, forcing the team to instead rely on spreading the field. His receivers are given freedom to run and adjust routes as they see fit, which puts a heavy emphasis on experience and chemistry with Fitzpatrick. Stevie Johnson is Fitzpatrick's security blanket, and the Bills run a lot of one-read slants off of that, with Johnson clearing and Jackson or Spiller crossing under him out of the slot. Fitzpatrick also likes to check down to tight end Scott Chandler over the middle. The Bills are one of the NFL's more pass-heavy red zone teams. Outside the five, they'll often spread it out with Fitzpatrick looking over the middle. David Nelson was most frequently targeted deep in opponent territory, leading the team in targets (11), catches (seven) and touchdowns (five) inside 10 yards. Johnson also has a big role, and Chandler is used in play-action. The Bills doled out a lot of money for OLB Mario Williams and DE Mark Anderson this offseason, and this duo should improve the team's pass rush significantly. Williams, in particular, should thrive playing the LDE position in his new 4-3 scheme in Buffalo. He's added some muscle to tip the scales closer to 300, which should result in fewer missed tackles in 2012. The presence of Williams and Anderson should allow 22-year-old Marcell Dareus to find more room to rush his 320-pound frame up the middle. Nick Barnett transitioned nicely to a 4-3 weakside linebacker, recording 10-plus total tackles six times last year. George Wilson stepped up as a run-stopper after the departure of Donte Whitner, and as a converted wide receiver he has excellent ball skills. He was on pace for 90 solo tackles before injuring his neck. Kelvin Sheppard is another good young talent in the box, and Jairus Byrd is a ball-hawking free safety to round out an improving secondary.
INDIANAPOLIS: There's been a lot of turnover with the Colts, and it should be evident in the new look of their running game. Offensive line coach Harold Goodwin, who came over from Pittsburgh with new offensive coordinator Bruce Arians, is versed in more of a power man-blocking scheme. Indy will try to be much more physical up front as opposed to past years. It will be a huge adjustment for their smallish o-line. Delone Carter would seem to be a better fit for their new style than Donald Brown, but Brown's more well-rounded skill set will likely make this at least a time share. Carter seems likely to get the first crack at goal-line carries. Andrew Luck essentially ran his own offense at Stanford and did it with surprising balance. This offense will feature a lot of timing routes and the Colts figure to install a two-tight end base after drafting Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen in the top 70. Fleener may be their top deep threat, stretching the middle of the field for Reggie Wayne (who will be Luck's No. 1 target). Arians ran a lot of deep crossing routes in Pittsburgh, but Donnie Avery and rookie T.Y. Hilton are Indy's only WRs with speed. Luck figures to get a little more freedom in the red zone than the typical rookie quarterback. The Colts don't have the line to really get a push in a short field, so they'll have to get creative. Fleener and Wayne are both capable red zone targets. The Colts defense was atrocious in 2011, and they could be just as bad this season. Andrew Luck might lower Indy's time on the defensive end of the field (NFL-high 33:46 per game last year), but this is a unit with a bunch of holes to patch up, and Indy focused more on offensive improvements in the draft. Dwight Freeney will shift to outside linebacker this season with Indy switching to a 3-4 under new defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano'although it will be adjustment for the veteran, he should be an effective pass rusher as long as he remains healthy. The undersized Pat Angerer made a lot of tackles last season after moving to middle LB in Week 2, and he'll be the team's primary run-stopper in Pagano's 3-4. Antoine Bethea is more effective in run support than he is in pass coverage, and his contributions will be key playing behind an undermanned front seven that will be transitioning to a new scheme.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ PA SPORTSTICKER PRO FOOTBALL PREVIEW (BUFFALO-INDIANAPOLIS) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

*Bills-Colts Preview* =====================


The Indianapolis Colts still have much to prove after being dominated in their biggest test to date in the Andrew Luck-era.

As they look to get back on track, a potentially easier challenge against the visiting Buffalo Bills on Sunday won't come quick enough for the Colts.

Indianapolis (6-4) played its way into playoff contention with four straight wins against teams with a combined 11-29 record before heading into last week's showdown at New England.

Now, the Colts are left trying to erase the memory of an embarrassing 59-24 loss to the Patriots.

Indianapolis, facing its first opponent with a winning record since a Week 2 win against Minnesota, had four turnovers, including two interceptions that were returned for touchdowns.

Luck completed 27 of 50 passes for 334 yards and two touchdowns with three interceptions - his first three-pick game since the season opener. Still, he broke Peyton Manning's NFL rookie record with his fifth 300-yard game.

"You realize it's just one loss," Luck said. "It doesn't count any more or any less in the column and realize that we're still in a decent position, I think that some other teams would like to be in. Our goals are still obtainable."

Rookie T.Y. Hilton looks for his third 100-yard receiving effort in four games after finishing with six catches for 100 yards and two touchdowns against the Patriots.

Indianapolis, which has yet to lose two straight this season, could be line for a big day against a Buffalo defense that ranks near the bottom of the league in yards (401.1) and points allowed (29.9).

While the Bills also have the worst run defense in the AFC, allowing 153.3 yards per game, it might not matter with the Colts' inconsistent ground game.

Donald Brown has been slowed by a knee injury and rookie Vick Ballard is averaging just 57.3 in his six starts after rushing for 72 yards on 16 carries against New England.

Buffalo's defense, however, is coming off one of its best performances, allowing a season-low 184 yards in a 19-14 victory over Miami on Nov. 15 that halted the team's three-game losing streak.

The unit should get a boost on Sunday with the return of defensive end Chris Kelsay, who missed two games with a partially torn ligament in his neck.

"If we can win these ballgames coming down the stretch, and get healthy to make a push for the playoffs, that's huge," Kelsay said.

The Bills (4-6) are on the fringe of the AFC playoff race, with three teams ahead of them competing for the conference's two wild-card spots.

They should be helped by the return of running back Fred Jackson, who has been sidelined since suffering a concussion in Week 10. Despite having Jackson back, coach Chan Gailey said C.J. Spiller will remain the starter. Spiller, who finished with 91 yards on 22 carries against Miami, leads the team with 723 yards rushing and four touchdowns.

The Bills' rushing attack, which ranks third in the AFC with 140.8 yards per game, has been key to the team's success.

Since the start of last season, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick is 6-1 when making 29 or fewer pass attempts, and 4-15 when attempting more than 30.

Buffalo will try to keep the Indianapolis defense reeling after it allowed season highs in points and yards (446) in the humbling loss to the Patriots.

"Last week, it was keeping the season alive, and it's the same thing now," Bills receiver Stevie Johnson said. "If we win, we know we still have hope of the playoffs."

The Colts had won six straight against Buffalo before losing at Orchard Park in a meaningless season finale on Jan. 3, 2010, when playoff-bound Indianapolis rested Peyton Manning and others most of the game.

Game Notes:

Last Updated: 5/22/2018 10:52:05 AM EST

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