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NFL : ATS Matchup
Thursday 11/15/2012Line$ LineOU LineScore




MIAMI (4 - 5) at BUFFALO (3 - 6)
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Week 11 Thursday, 11/15/2012 8:20 PM
Board OpenLatest
MIAMI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
All Games4-5-2.94-43-519.210.0323.9(5.3)1.920.79.6372.2(5.5)1.2
Road Games2-3-1.23-21-319.612.0327.0(5.5)
Last 3 Games1-2-3.31-20-217.713.3285.3(5.1)1.723.012.3390.7(5.6)0.7
Turf Games2-0+2.32-00-123.513.5257.5(4.4)1.511.03.0330.5(4.8)2.5
Division Games1-101-01-025.015.0308.5(4.5)1.516.01.5375.5(4.9)2.0
MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
Offense (All Games)
Opponents Defensive Avg.24.411.420.131:3728-123(4.4)21-3462.1%224(6.7)62-347(5.6)(14.2)
Offense Road Games19.612.017.028:3627-83(3.1)20-3359.4%244(7.4)60-327(5.5)(16.7)
Defense (All Games)20.79.620.332:1925-94(3.7)24-4256.3%279(6.6)67-372(5.5)(18)
Opponents Offensive Avg.2110.919.130:2026-103(3.9)21-3659.2%232(6.5)62-335(5.4)(15.9)
Defense Road Games19.88.621.032:4323-79(3.4)27-4559.4%284(6.3)68-362(5.3)(18.3)
MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
Stats For (All Games)
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.
Stats For (Road Games)
Stats Against (All Games) 16-534.5%1-190.0%3-56(22)3-30(9.2)7-62
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 14-536.9%1-160.1%3-64(23.7)21-2(9.4)7-56
Stats Against (Road Games) 17-637.3%1-183.3%3-68(24.2)2-17(7.8)6-56

BUFFALO - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
All Games3-6-34-56-323.412.3359.1(6)2.331.713.3410.0(6.4)1.2
Home Games1-2-1.81-23-032.318.3399.7(6.7)2.734.79.3464.0(6.9)1.7
Last 3 Games0-3-3.81-22-124.714.3390.3(6.5)
Turf Games1-4-3.82-35-031.215.8414.0(6.8)3.037.815.8424.6(6.4)1.2
Division Games0-3-31-23-029.012.7436.3(6.8)4.345.719.3437.0(6.4)1.0
BUFFALO - Current Season Statistics
Offense (All Games)23.412.319.629:2927-144(5.3)21-3362.3%216(6.5)60-359(6)(15.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.22.510.819.630:1928-115(4.1)21-3461.4%232(6.8)62-347(5.6)(15.5)
Offense Home Games32.318.318.729:3829-155(5.3)20-3163.4%245(7.9)60-400(6.7)(12.4)
Defense (All Games)31.713.323.830:5630-164(5.5)21-3461.9%246(7.2)64-410(6.4)(12.9)
Opponents Offensive Avg.23.411.521.231:3929-125(4.3)21-3560.6%227(6.4)64-352(5.5)(15.1)
Defense Home Games34.79.326.330:2230-198(6.5)22-3760.4%266(7.2)67-464(6.9)(13.4)
BUFFALO - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
Stats For (All Games)
Opponents Avg. Stats Against10.81.8213-537.9%1-050.0%3-68(24.1)20-2(10.2)6-53
Stats For (Home Games)
Stats Against (All Games) 13-647.4%1-066.7%3-57(22.1)2-32(15)5-44
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.71.5 14-640.0%1-055.9%3-70(24.4)26-2(10.6)6-54
Stats Against (Home Games) 13-646.2%1-050.0%3-59(22)2-25(15)3-23
Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 17.1,  BUFFALO 21.3
MIAMI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
9/23/2012NY JETS20-23L3T40.5O43-18516-36-196233-8821-45-3002
9/30/2012@ ARIZONA21-24L4W39O29-8626-41-394415-2829-48-2692
10/7/2012@ CINCINNATI17-13W3W45U35-6817-26-211219-8026-43-2183
10/14/2012ST LOUIS17-14W-5.5L37.5U18-1921-29-173027-16226-39-3001
10/28/2012@ NY JETS30-9W1W39P33-9713-24-139121-10528-54-2582
11/4/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS20-23L-3L43.5U18-8422-38-281026-9730-48-4190
11/15/2012@ BUFFALO            
12/2/2012NEW ENGLAND            
12/9/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO            

BUFFALO - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
9/16/2012KANSAS CITY35-17W-3W45O36-20110-19-178024-15023-42-2723
9/23/2012@ CLEVELAND24-14W-3W45U34-13822-35-206113-3327-43-2072
9/30/2012NEW ENGLAND28-52L3.5L47.5O27-9822-39-340640-24722-36-3332
10/7/2012@ SAN FRANCISCO3-45L10L45.5O19-8916-26-115238-31119-25-3101
10/14/2012@ ARIZONA19-16W5.5W44.5U33-16518-33-141230-18216-36-1502
11/4/2012@ HOUSTON9-21L11L48U16-7825-38-230132-11819-27-2560
11/11/2012@ NEW ENGLAND31-37L13.5W54O28-16227-40-319329-11723-38-2300
11/25/2012@ INDIANAPOLIS            
12/9/2012ST LOUIS            
MIAMI: The Dolphins will have a different look under new head coach Joe Philbin, as his West Coast offense figures to emphasize short catch-and-run plays rather than the between-the-tackles running to set up the pass that Miami has used in recent years. The running game itself will undergo a big change as they transition to a zone-blocking scheme. Reggie Bush has some experience in it, as the Saints sprinkled in zone plays during his time there. Daniel Thomas gets a fresh slate and has the tools (especially pass protection and receiving) to thrive in the new system. Neither Bush nor Thomas is a true short-yardage back, though Bush figures to get the first crack at the role. With the West Coast roots of Philbin and new offensive coordinator Mike Sherman, expect this year's attack to be much more catch-and-run, which suits rookie QB Ryan Tannehill even if veteran Matt Moore holds him off early. Brandon Marshall is gone and slot man Davone Bess figures to be a major beneficiary stat-wise. The backs and TE Anthony Fasano will play a bigger role in the receiving game as well, with Fasano serving as a target near the goal line on play-action. Brian Hartline and Chad Ochocinco figure to be targeted rarely. Fullback/H-back Charles Clay is a part-time player but should be in for an increase in reps and targets. He could end up surpassing Fasano in receiving numbers. Miami excelled in stopping the run in 2011, and wound up placing third in the NFL with 95.6 rushing YPG allowed. Although the defense did not markedly improve in its offense-focused draft, the Dolphins signed CB Richard Marshall and should remain capable of stopping opposing offenses that don't possess the passing game of a team like New England. Miami is switching to a 4-3 and Karlos Dansby will be the key to maintaining the team's performance against the run as its middle linebacker. Dansby's best years, however, came playing in a 3-4, making the move a bit of a risk.
BUFFALO: The Bills are largely committed to zone blocking, going away from two-RB backfields and running effectively out of their three-WR base. They'll spread defenses out then use a lot of inside-zone plays, especially when Fred Jackson is healthy. If he's 100 percent, Jackson figures to take the majority of the snaps at running back over Spiller, who's used outside the tackles as more of an all-or-nothing runner. Both backs will be on the field at the same time in certain packages, with one of them (usually Spiller) in the slot. Buffalo's passing game is limited by Ryan Fitzpatrick's lack of arm strength, forcing the team to instead rely on spreading the field. His receivers are given freedom to run and adjust routes as they see fit, which puts a heavy emphasis on experience and chemistry with Fitzpatrick. Stevie Johnson is Fitzpatrick's security blanket, and the Bills run a lot of one-read slants off of that, with Johnson clearing and Jackson or Spiller crossing under him out of the slot. Fitzpatrick also likes to check down to tight end Scott Chandler over the middle. The Bills are one of the NFL's more pass-heavy red zone teams. Outside the five, they'll often spread it out with Fitzpatrick looking over the middle. David Nelson was most frequently targeted deep in opponent territory, leading the team in targets (11), catches (seven) and touchdowns (five) inside 10 yards. Johnson also has a big role, and Chandler is used in play-action. The Bills doled out a lot of money for OLB Mario Williams and DE Mark Anderson this offseason, and this duo should improve the team's pass rush significantly. Williams, in particular, should thrive playing the LDE position in his new 4-3 scheme in Buffalo. He's added some muscle to tip the scales closer to 300, which should result in fewer missed tackles in 2012. The presence of Williams and Anderson should allow 22-year-old Marcell Dareus to find more room to rush his 320-pound frame up the middle. Nick Barnett transitioned nicely to a 4-3 weakside linebacker, recording 10-plus total tackles six times last year. George Wilson stepped up as a run-stopper after the departure of Donte Whitner, and as a converted wide receiver he has excellent ball skills. He was on pace for 90 solo tackles before injuring his neck. Kelvin Sheppard is another good young talent in the box, and Jairus Byrd is a ball-hawking free safety to round out an improving secondary.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ PA SPORTSTICKER PRO FOOTBALL PREVIEW (MIAMI-BUFFALO) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

*Dolphins-Bills Preview* ========================


Mired in their longest slide of the season, perhaps the last thing the Buffalo Bills need is to be without one of their top players while trying to end their recent struggles against the Miami Dolphins.

Minus running back Fred Jackson, the Bills look to snap a three-game skid Thursday night against the visiting Dolphins, who will try to avoid a third straight defeat.

Buffalo (3-6) has at least been competitive in the midst of its longest losing streak since a seven-game slide Nov. 6-Dec. 18. The Bills fell 35-34 at home to Tennessee on Oct. 21 and 21-9 at Houston on Nov. 14. On Sunday, Ryan Fitzpatrick was intercepted in the end zone with 28 seconds left in a 37-31 defeat at New England.

"We are not good enough yet to not play extremely well and win," said coach Chan Gailey, whose team has lost five of six. "We've got to play extremely well to win. We're not there yet."

That could be tough to remedy without Jackson, who ran for 80 yards with two touchdowns and caught four passes for 35 before suffering a concussion late in the fourth quarter Sunday. Jackson, who has 481 total yards and four TDs, has missed two other games due to a sprained right knee.

"As an offense, we're definitely going to miss him because he brings so much to our team," said running back C.J. Spiller, who will step into a more prominent role after totaling 131 yards last weekend. "But this is familiar territory for me."

Spiller, who has a team-leading 632 rushing yards and a league-high 7.3 yards per carry, capably filled in last year when Jackson missed the final six games with a broken leg. Spiller gained 91 yards with a TD and had nine receptions for 76 yards with a score in a 30-23 home loss to Miami on Dec. 18.

The third-year pro, however, has never carried more than 19 times in a game.

"I'm not worried about how many times I touch it. I'm just pretty much, from here on out, just worried about wins," Spiller said.

Though Spiller is capable, the Bills would like to have their 1-2 backfield punch that has accounted for 1,410 yards from scrimmage - nearly half of the team's 3,228 yards - as they try to avoid a third straight home defeat. Buffalo ranks sixth in the NFL with 143.1 rushing yards a game.

Miami (4-5) outscored the Bills 65-31 while winning both meetings in 2011, and has taken six of eight against its AFC East foe. The Dolphins have won two in a row and three of four at Buffalo, though they'll be trying to bounce back from their most lopsided home defeat since 1968, 37-3 to Tennessee on Sunday.

"When you play like that, we need to make some corrections," said coach Joe Philbin, whose team has not scored a touchdown in six quarters. "We need to make improvements, even though we're in a semi-time crunch."

Though the Dolphins won't have to worry about Jackson, they are still in for a major test after allowing an average of 135.3 rushing yards in the last four games. They yielded 61.4 in the first five.

Reggie Bush is expected to regain his role as the Dolphins' feature back after carrying four times for 21 yards Sunday and spending most of the game on the sidelines after a first-quarter fumble.

"I've got to do a better job protecting the ball," Bush said. "I've been in this league long enough to where I know protecting the ball is the most important thing as a running back."

Bush averaged 92.3 rushing yards in the first four games, but 37.2 in the last five. However, he ran for a career-high 203 yards at Buffalo last season.

Miami rookie Ryan Tannehill also hopes to rebound after throwing three interceptions against the Titans. He has thrown one of his five TDs in the last three games and ranks 29th with a 73.2 passer rating.

The Dolphins should have a good chance to get back on track against a Buffalo team that ranks 31st with 410.0 yards allowed per game and last at 31.7 points a contest.

Game Notes:

Last Updated: 4/25/2018 9:35:55 AM EST

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