|CINCINNATI ( BAILEY )|
ST LOUIS ( MILLER )
|965||CINCINNATI||-150||Ov 8.5,+100||-150||Ov 8.5,+110|
|966||ST LOUIS||+140||Un 8.5,-120||+140||Un 8.5,-130|
|vs Right-handed Starters||65-46||+7.4||40-60||4.0||0.251||0.312||3.6||0.245||0.298|
|Past 7 Games||4-3||+0.6||1-6||2.0||0.221||0.270||2.7||0.214||0.276|
|vs Right-handed Starters||56-57||-16||50-59||4.4||0.265||0.327||3.9||0.251||0.306|
|Past 7 Games||4-3||-0.2||3-4||5.0||0.268||0.343||2.7||0.223||0.258|
|9/19/2012||LEAKE(R)||@ CHICAGO CUBS||RUSIN(L)||6-5||W||-145||14 un||U||13||11||1||9||10||1|
|9/20/2012||CUETO(R)||@ CHICAGO CUBS||BERKEN(R)||5-3||W||-145||8.5 ov||U||9||8||0||11||11||0|
|9/21/2012||ARROYO(R)||LA DODGERS||BLANTON(R)||1-3||L||-135||8 un||U||4||7||0||7||7||0|
|9/22/2012||LATOS(R)||LA DODGERS||FIFE(R)||6-0||W||-180||8 ev||U||8||8||0||6||5||1|
|9/23/2012||BAILEY(R)||LA DODGERS||KERSHAW(L)||3-5||L||+135||7.5 un||O||6||10||1||8||5||1|
|9/28/2012||BAILEY(R)||@ PITTSBURGH||BURNETT(R)||1-0||W||-115||7 un||U||7||4||1||0||1||0|
|9/29/2012||LEAKE(R)||@ PITTSBURGH||MCPHERSON(R)||1-2||L||-125||8.5 ev||U||7||9||2||8||12||0|
|9/30/2012||CUETO(R)||@ PITTSBURGH||RODRIGUEZ(L)||4-3||W||-150||7.5 un||U||10||7||3||7||7||0|
|10/1/2012||ARROYO(R)||@ ST LOUIS||GARCIA(L)||2-4||L||130||7.5 un||U||6||5||0||9||6||1|
|10/2/2012||LATOS(R)||@ ST LOUIS||CARPENTER(R)||3-1||W||115||7 ov||U||8||7||0||6||6||0|
|10/3/2012||BAILEY(R)||@ ST LOUIS||MILLER(R)|| |
|9/21/2012||CARPENTER(R)||@ CHICAGO CUBS||VOLSTAD(R)||4-5||L||-170||9.5 un||U||8||11||0||13||9||0|
|9/22/2012||WAINWRIGHT(R)||@ CHICAGO CUBS||WOOD(L)||5-4||W||-160||8 ev||O||10||13||0||8||6||1|
|9/23/2012||LOHSE(R)||@ CHICAGO CUBS||GERMANO(R)||6-3||W||-175||7.5 ev||O||12||9||2||7||6||0|
|9/24/2012||LYNN(R)||@ HOUSTON||ABAD(L)||6-1||W||-210||8 ov||U||9||7||0||6||7||3|
|9/25/2012||GARCIA(L)||@ HOUSTON||HARRELL(R)||4-0||W||-145||8 un||U||9||10||1||7||5||0|
|9/26/2012||CARPENTER(R)||@ HOUSTON||NORRIS(R)||0-2||L||-180||8 ov||U||3||4||1||5||4||1|
|CINCINNATI: HITTING: 2B BRANDON PHILLIPS sparked the Reds offense after moving to the top of the order. But his free-swinging makes him a bad fit there. SS ZACK COZART played in only 11 games for the Reds before wrecking his non-throwing elbow, but it was still enough to convince the team they'd seen enough of PAUL JANISH in the starting role. 1B JOEY VOTTO keeps punishing pitchers. OF JAY BRUCE is in his gawky, teenage phase, but he's already emerged as a major power source. OF DREW STUBBS must cut down on his MLB-leading 206 strikeouts. He's out of the leadoff spot now, but those whiffs don't play well anywhere in the lineup. OF CHRIS HEISEY should get the starting nod in left now that Yonder Alonso is out of the picture. 3B SCOTT ROLEN is a permanent health question mark. His backup, JUAN FRANCISCO, swings for the fences. C DEVIN MESORACO is the most hyped catching prospect since Matt Wieters. RYAN HANIGAN will split squatting responsibilities with him. |
STARTING PITCHING: Considered a source of strength entering the 2011 campaign, the Reds rotation directly caused their undoing. The first step toward a remedy was trading for MAT LATOS, who began 2011 slow and got stronger as the year went on. The 24-year-old threw at least six innings with 5+ K in 16 of his final 17 starts (2.94 ERA). But that was in a much more pitcher-friendly environment. He has a decent career road ERA (3.57), and Cincy will surely give him much better run support than he received in San Diego. Last year's pitching problems began with BRONSON ARROYO, who gave up more home runs in a season than any pitcher in this millennium. He allowed more HR (46) than walks (45). JOHNNY CUETO was the one big bright spot; he hasn't maintained the strikeout rates he flashed early in his career, but he's All-Star caliber. HOMER BAILEY was a disappointment, going 9-7 with a 4.43 ERA. MIKE LEAKE actually pitched pretty well after he got his first taste of the minors to get his mechanics worked out.
RELIEF PITCHING: With Francisco Cordero flying the coop, and newcomer RYAN MADSON lost for the season with Tommy John Surgery, Cincinnati will use a closer-by-committee approach. The Reds gave up three players, including starter Travis Wood, to acquire SEAN MARSHALL, who should fit in nicely as a set-up man who's tough on both right-and left-handed batters. AROLDIS CHAPMAN is listed as the main set-up man for Marshall, but he missed out on winter ball and could be too raw to trust in the ninth inning. LOGAN ONDRUSEK is also capable of being a decent closer, with a big fastball.
|ST LOUIS: HITTING: Alienate and trade your talented young centerfielder for bullpen scraps and a middling, impending free-agent starter. Justify your ludicrous pitching changes by blaming crowd noise and your innocent bullpen coach'and you too could win a World Series! This was Tony La Russa baseball. But he's gone now, as is the all-world Albert Pujols. SS RAFAEL FURCAL liked his short stint in the Show Me State enough to sign up for more. OF CARLOS BELTRAN will hit second after an impressive 2011 campaign during which he produced solid numbers in pitchers' parks amidst weak lineups. 2Bs TYLER GREENE and DANIEL DESCALSO are the latest plucky 'gamer' to play infield at Busch. Resuscitated slugger 1B LANCE BERKMAN shifts to a much more suitable defensive position. OF MATT HOLLIDAY's OPS remains as strong as ever. 3B DAVID FREESE will never have to buy a drink in Missouri again after his postseason heroics. C YADIER MOLINA is a defensive whiz behind the plate and an underrated hitter. OFs ALLEN CRAIG and JON JAY are more suited to platoon roles, but Jay will be starting in center on Opening Day. |
STARTING PITCHING: His stuff isn't nearly what it used to be, and he's more than earned his reputation within the game as a towering crybaby. But on the mound, CHRIS CARPENTER remains ruthlessly effective when he's healthy. But he'll miss the first couple of months of the 2012 campaign due to shoulder problems. ADAM WAINWRIGHT should be ready to go on Opening Day, and has shown every reason to think he'll be his old brilliant self. JAIME GARCIA cannot sustain a sub-2.00 ERA for a full season. He's a mid-rotation starter, but one of the better ones in all of baseball. Did KYLE LOHSE really register a 1.17 WHIP over an entire season? Really? He just doesn't miss enough bats to keep that going. JAKE WESTBROOK stayed healthy for a full season again, which is a relief given his past dalliances with the DL. He's an innings eater who's capable of another dozen wins. LANCE LYNN gives the Cardinals enviable depth in the rotation. He'll probably slide back to the bullpen once Carpenter returns. Uber-prospect SHELBY MILLER could be a second-half call-up.
RELIEF PITCHING: It doesn't look pretty when JASON MOTTE winds up and delivers a pitch, but in the end, results are results. The converted catcher has finally nailed down the closer role that many predicted would be his a few years ago. The only way he loses it this time is if he hurts himself with that painful delivery. FERNANDO SALAS can more than hold his own if that happens. He'll slot into the eighth-inning role, but he provides more of the pitching depth that is a hallmark of this Cardinals team. KYLE McCLELLAN, like Lynn, is serviceable both in relief or in the rotation. But he's better in the former role.
|~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ PA SPORTSTICKER NL PREVIEW (CINCINNATI-ST LOUIS) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ |
(ADDS Cardinals to start Miller)
*Reds-Cardinals Preview* ========================
By NOEY KUPCHAN STATS Writer
Cincinnati (97-64) at St. Louis (87-74), 8:15 p.m. EDT
While they didn't find out until well after losing their last game, the defending World Series champion St. Louis Cardinals are officially headed back to the playoffs.
With both teams looking to pick up steam, the Cardinals wrap up the regular season against Homer Bailey and the NL Central champion Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday night at Busch Stadium.
Though it could have clinched with a win, St. Louis (87-74), which fell 3-1 on Tuesday, locked up a playoff berth with the Los Angeles Dodgers' 4-3 loss to San Francisco later that night. The Cardinals will play at Atlanta on Friday in the new one-game playoff between wild-card teams.
"It's a great feeling. It's a wonderful accomplishment," general manager John Mozeliak said. "I couldn't be more proud of these guys and especially Mike Matheny for what he was able to do with his leadership."
Cincinnati (97-64), meanwhile, remains tied with Washington for the league's best record after the Nationals won 4-2 on Tuesday. The Reds lost their head-to-head series against the Nationals and need a victory in this game and a Washington loss Wednesday to earn home-field advantage throughout the postseason.
"We don't know if it's going to be advantageous to get first, second or third or the wild card," manager Dusty Baker said. "Right now, this is all new."
The Reds have won four of six overall and six of nine against the Cardinals.
"It's a lot of energy," Jay Bruce said. "I think it's a good series for us to play going into the playoffs.
"Scott Rolen actually pointed that out to me. If we had gone somewhere where they're not a contender, we would have been like, `All right, let's get this over.' But these guys are good, they play us tough."
The Reds now turn to Bailey (13-10, 3.75 ERA), who went 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA over six September starts and finished the month in spectacular fashion. The right-hander matched a career high with 10 strikeouts while throwing the 15th no-hitter in Reds history Friday, a 1-0 win at Pittsburgh.
"To me, at 26 ... he's got a lot of time to get better and he's already shown he's an established quality starter," said batterymate Ryan Hanigan. "Whether he becomes an ace or not, we'll see."
Despite his superb effort, Bailey could be left out of Cincinnati's postseason rotation. Johnny Cueto will get the call in Game 1 of the division series with Bronson Arroyo and Mat Latos taking the mound in Games 2 and 3.
"We're not sure about that," Baker told the team's official website when asked if he would use a fourth starter, if needed. "Generally speaking, you only use three starters in the first round. We won't try to guess who's not (in), but that's a pretty good ace in the hole if you've got a guy getting hammered."
Bailey has typically struggled against the Cardinals, going 3-7 with a 5.32 ERA over 12 career starts. He is 0-3 with a 6.89 ERA in four outings at St. Louis, though he hasn't pitched there since last season.
Matt Holliday, Yadier Molina and David Freese have all taken Bailey deep twice, with Holliday going 11 for 25 (.440) in their matchups.
With a playoff spot clinched, the Cardinals will skip Adam Wainwright's scheduled start and give prized rookie Shelby Miller (1-0, 2.35) his first career start instead.
Miller, who turns 22 later this month, has made five relief appearances since he was recalled from the minors on Sept. 4. He tossed one scoreless inning at Houston last Wednesday.
|Last Updated: 9/23/2017 8:43:49 PM EST|